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The longer the Iran war goes, the worse it could be for Trump. Just look at history

Israel struck Iranian gas infrastructure, prompting qatar-gas-plant-eu-faces-years-long-crisis.html" class="story-link" title="Iran’s strike on Qatar gas facility will reduce supply for 3 to 5 years">Iran to retaliate with attacks on energy sites across the Middle East, including Qatari gas facilities. The escalating strikes have caused oil and gas prices to surge globally and effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz to maritime traffic. President Trump has called for restraint, leading Israel to announce it will avoid targeting Iran's energy assets going forward.

The conflict has disrupted critical global energy supply chains and transportation routes, with the Strait of Hormuz—a vital corridor for oil and gas exports—nearly shut down. Rising energy costs are rippling through the global economy, affecting everything from factories to food prices, creating potential economic headaches for the harbor-during-iran-meeting-with-japan-pm.html" class="story-link" title="Watch: Trump compares attack on Iran to Pearl Harbor in meeting with Japanese PM">Trump administration.
Israel's position

Israel initially justified strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure as necessary responses to Iranian aggression. Following pressure from President Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu announced Israel would avoid future attacks on Iran's energy assets to prevent further economic disruption.

Iran's position

Iran has continued attacking regional energy infrastructure despite calls for restraint from the US, framing its actions as justified retaliation for Israeli strikes. Iran's strategy appears aimed at demonstrating its ability to disrupt global energy markets and impose economic costs on its adversaries.